Showing posts with label bankrupt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bankrupt. Show all posts

Monday, April 20, 2009

The UAW and Chrysler;Concessions or Bankrupt


Latest Article From Time.


Despite the pressure of Chrysler's April 30 deadline to pull off a rescue package — or face potential bankruptcy — the United Auto Workers has been in no rush to make concessions. "As I see it, the United Auto Workers union has a choice. They can [shed] some jobs or they can take a pay cut," says a financial consultant based in Detroit. "Naturally when you're faced with two bad choices, there is a natural tendency to procrastinate."

The carmaker's management is struggling to assemble a rescue package that in addition to any UAW givebacks will have to include closing more plants and getting big help from Italian carmaker Fiat, which would contribute its own small-car designs and technology. Failure would saddle major banks with $7 billion in new losses, leave Chrysler's former owner, Daimler AG on the hook for more than $1 billion in additional pension costs and wipe out the health care for thousands of Chrysler retirees.

The foot dragging on Chrysler is affecting GM, too. In a Friday conference call with the media, GM chairman Fritz Henderson lamented that GM's own union negotiations are being slowed because the UAW won't move forward until the Chrysler/Fiat negotiations are resolved. That makes sense: Whatever terms Chrysler gets will be a precedent for GM, too. GM faces a June 1 deadline from the U.S. government to produce sufficient cuts to ensure viability.

It's understandable why the UAW isn't rushing to embrace a new agreement. According to Harley Shaiken, a labor expert at the University of California at Berkley and occasional consultant to the UAW, the union and its Canadian counterpart are grappling with demands for big cuts in their wages and benefits — on the order of 25% to 30% — by Chrysler and Fiat. The demanded rollbacks could reduce wages and benefits, presently pegged at $29 per hour, by $6 to $8 per hour. "There is no doubt these are very serious cuts and they're being made under very tight deadlines and under very serious pressure," Shaiken says. "That will be a bitter pill on either side of the border," he says. Neither Chrysler nor Fiat has made its demands public.

Many of the current negotiations trace back to the terms of the original government loans. As a condition of Chrysler's loan agreement, the UAW must accept a 50% reduction in payments to its retiree health care trust and match the Japanese transplants' hourly labor costs, says Chrysler spokeswoman Dianna Gutierrez. "The Canadian government has taken a similar position as it relates to the CAW," she notes.

Union representatives in the U.S., however, complain the current demands go beyond those spelled out in the December loan agreement. The union has already committed to eliminating productivity bonuses due this year and next, to changes in the way overtime pay is computed, and to the elimination of the traditional cost-of-living allowances as well as to cuts in the special supplemental unemployment benefits for employees with less than 20 years seniority. Sources close to the negotiations tell TIME that the union has not yet agreed to the changes in funding Chrysler's health-care trust, which was established in 2007.

With the negotiations in a crucial phase, UAW President Ron Gettelfinger declined to discuss Chrysler. "He's not talking to anyone," a UAW spokeswoman said.

Yet the UAW knows where things are headed. "I don't think this is going to have a very happy ending," says one UAW official, who asked not to be identified. But he noted it was inevitable the union will have to accept additional cuts. One of the union's fears, though, is that the negotiations turn into a sort of arbitrage that sets active Chrysler workers against retirees — a split the UAW has always sought to avoid. "People are angry. Where do you draw the line and say to hell with it and just let them go into bankruptcy?" says one disgruntled UAW member.

Some creditors seem to think the company's assets could be worth more if they were divided up in bankruptcy court — an option opposed by Michigan's Democratic governor and congressional representatives, who are putting pressure on the Obama administration to keep the company from being broken up in bankruptcy.

In the meantime, Chrysler is melting away. In response to pressure from Obama administration, Chrysler has proposed more plant shutdowns. Set to be closed, according to sources familiar with the discussions inside the company, are assembly plants in St. Louis, Mo., and Brampton, Ontario; engine plants in Detroit, Trenton, Mich., and Kenosha, Wis.; and another plant in Mexico that builds big engines. Chrysler's assembly plant in Sterling Heights, Mich., also has been identified by some analysts as a possible candidate for closure. If executed, the shutdowns would further downsize a company that is already far smaller than it was only two years ago. Since the beginning of 2007, Chrysler's employment in the U.S. has dropped from 68,000 to around 38,000 today.
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Friday, October 17, 2008

GM: Better off bankrupt!


GM: Better off bankrupt
The automaker is in trouble, but even Chapter 11 would be better than hooking up with Chrysler
By Alex Taylor III, senior editor

NEW YORK (Fortune) -- GM certainly is keeping a close eye on its cash these days.

One supplier reports he is now getting paid 60 days after he presents an invoice - not the 30 days he was used to. Worse, the clock doesn't start ticking until after the bills get approved in Detroit - and then sent to Arizona for processing.

Next thing you know, GM will be inflating its float by cutting supplier checks on banks in Fiji that will take weeks to clear.

It is a measure of GM's desperation that it is reported to be considering a linkup with Chrysler to get access to Chrysler's cash so it can remain in business. The idea has provoked nearly universal skepticism among analysts and GM watchers.

With good reason; they have history on their side. The list of unsuccessful auto mergers stretches from the present day - Daimler (DAI) and Chrysler, BMW and Rover - all the way back to Studebaker-Packard and Nash-Hudson.

Buying Chrysler would only get GM (GM, Fortune 500) more of what it doesn't need: more brands, more models, more factories, more employees, more dealers. You have to wonder what makes GM think it could run Chrysler's operations more successfully than it has run its own. Like a second marriage, a GM/Chrysler merger would be a triumph of hope over experience.

So what's an ailing automotive giant to do?

GM has the wrong products to sell into a shrinking market and can offer little or nothing in the way of financing to its customers.

To remain liquid through next year, it needs to raise $10 billion to $15 billion through a combination of internal measures, borrowing and asset sales. That's next to impossible these days. With some of its bonds selling for less than 50 cents on the dollar, the cost of new debt would be prohibitive. Not even vulture investors are clamoring to buy shuttered parts or assembly plants. And Hummer, which GM is trying to shed, does not appear to be the next iconic American brand. Harley-Davidson it isn't.

Bailout or bust
So how about a government bailout? What's good for GM is good for the country, and vice versa. The federal government has promised more than $1 trillion to keep banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions afloat. Couldn't it find another $100 billion or so to invest in the Detroit Three on top of the $25 billion in loans already approved?

A government loan wouldn't be about protecting well-compensated union jobs or keeping afloat inefficient suppliers in Michigan and Ohio. It could be directed toward advancing Detroit's and the country's strategic interests by speeding development of alternative fuel technologies that reduce our dependence on foreign oil as well as help limit the generation of greenhouse gases.

GM may have a decent shot at that in a Democratic administration. If not, there is bankruptcy. That's a horrible possibility, to be sure, and one that GM claims is not an option because it would destroy consumer confidence in its vehicles. Who is going to accept a three-year warrantee on a new car from a bankrupt company?

But hear me out. Bankruptcy would give GM a chance to negotiate further cost reductions with its union workers, work out its obligations with those suppliers that are still solvent, and help speed the rationalization of its dealer body.

Would GM then be stigmatized as the only bankrupt auto company? No way. Ford (F, Fortune 500) and Chrysler would immediately find that they have been made uncompetitive by GM's actions and quickly follow it into Chapter 11.

Flying one bankrupt airline felt a little awkward, but by the time half a dozen were in the same condition, it seemed perfectly natural. That would apply to the Detroit Three. There is still an appetite out there in America's heartland for Detroit iron, and in the end bankruptcy may be the best way to continue to satisfy it.



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